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Gold Prices Hit a Weekly High as Dollar Retreats

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Gold prices surged to their highest level in a week today, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, while markets await comments from Federal Reserve officials for clues on the future direction of interest rates.

Gold Performance and Dollar Impact

As of 02:46 GMT, spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,623.54 per ounce, marking its highest level since November 12, following a 2% gain on Monday. Meanwhile, U.S. gold futures climbed 0.5% to $2,627.60 per ounce.

The U.S. dollar weakened due to profit-taking after last week’s remarkable rally. A weaker dollar typically reduces the cost of gold for international buyers, increasing its attractiveness.

Kyle Rodda, a financial markets analyst at Capital.com, noted that recent market moves are “largely technical and influenced by a peak in U.S. dollar purchases.”

Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Speculations

Strong recent economic data has raised concerns about whether the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates. Since September, the central bank has reduced rates by a total of 75 basis points, sparking debates about further cuts.

Investors are focusing on statements from Federal Reserve officials expected this week. These remarks are critical in shaping expectations ahead of the bank's December meeting.
Current market sentiment shows a 58.8% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut next month versus a 41.2% probability of unchanged rates.

Geopolitical Uncertainty Drives Safe-Haven Demand

On the geopolitical front, Russia carried out its largest airstrike on Ukraine in nearly three months, significantly damaging the country’s energy grid. Such geopolitical tensions typically increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold, especially during periods of low-interest rates.

Goldman Sachs Outlook

Goldman Sachs projects a bullish long-term outlook for gold, forecasting prices to reach a historic $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. The investment bank attributes this to increased central bank purchases and expected U.S. rate cuts.

Additionally, Goldman Sachs listed gold as one of the top-performing commodities for 2025, with the possibility of further gains under a Donald Trump presidency.

Other Precious Metals

The rise in gold prices was mirrored by other precious metals:

  • Silver climbed 0.5% to $31.32 per ounce, its highest in a week.
  • Platinum advanced 0.3% to $969.80 per ounce.
  • Palladium held steady at $1,005.20, after gaining over 5% on Monday.

Conclusion

The combination of a weakening dollar, geopolitical tensions, and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty continues to bolster gold's appeal. With forecasts pointing to significant long-term gains, gold remains a valuable asset for investors seeking stability in volatile markets.

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